NFL picks: Week 8

We are nearing the halfway point of the season and now the cat is out of the bag on some of our favorite undervalued plays. Todd Gurley is sure to be chalk this week facing a leaky San Francisco Defense. Stefon Diggs and Nate Washington are going to be on a lot of radars based on recent performances and with their salaries relatively low, it still makes sense to consider them.

Quarterback

You don't want to fade Phillip Rivers. There are always concerns about a West Coast team travelling east, but that only plays into Rivers hands. The Chargers can't run the ball and you need to take advantage. I also think favorably about Eli Manning returning to New Orleans and I think I do actually like Roethlisberger in his first game back. I think this is a week you could even consider a Brown / Bell stack and ignore negative correlation. I do also think Cam Newton will perform nicely as a Monday Night play.

Liking
Rivers, Dalton, Big Ben, Eli, Cam Newton, Ryan Fitzmagic

Fading
Carson Palmer, Matt Ryan, Rodgers, Luck

Running Back

I find this a good week to pay up but there are also a few good spots for paying down. Darren McFadden is certainly going to see a massive amount of usage against a Seattle defense that isn't as scary on the road. Le'Veon Bell and Todd Gurley will be popular but with good reason. Pay up for Bell, Freeman, Gurley, pay down for McFadden, Sims, Duke Johnson.

I also think it is prudent to consider Mark Ingram who had 2 TDs poached by Khiry Robinson last week. Justin Forsett is also in a great spot against a terrible San Diego front 7. I'm in favor of fading Doug Martin against Atlanta because of game flow concerns and pivoting to Charles Sims.

Liking
Le'Veon Bell, Todd Gurley, Mark Ingram, Justin Forsett, Darren McFadden, Charles Sims

Fading
Chris Johnson, Adrian Peterson, Doug Martin, Alfred Blue

Wide Receiver

Wide Receiver is looking like a good pay-up this week. There are big reasons to like Julio and Hopkins on this slate. Antonio Brown is coming at a nice discount because of his slump without Big Ben and I just cannot ignore that discount. We also have Keenan Allen and Brandon Marshall with favorable matchups. TY Hilton is an obvious fade going against Josh Norman.

O'Dell Beckham Jr. is going to see Delvin Breaux who tripped over his feet twice last week to make TY pay off, but otherwise is a very good cover corner. Rueben Randle on the other hand will see Brandon Browner who is so burnable he may spontaneously combust. Randle is obviously way less talented but I like the pivot play even though Eli and ODB are both returning to New Orleans where they went to the same high school. Others may be on Mike Evans this week, but I see that as unlikely to pay off. Evans will be the focal point of the Falcons D. With VIncent Jackson and Austin Seferian-Jenkins doubtful, that leaves nothing else outside of Charles Sims for Jameis Winston to target. I'm staying away.

Side Note: I'm a Raiders fan and I love Amari Cooper, but I wouldn't start Jerry Rice in his prime against Darrelle Revis.

Liking
DeAndre Hopkins, Antonio Brown, Stefon Diggs, Brandon Marshall, Rueben Randle.

Fading
Mike Evans, TY Hilton, Amari Cooper

Tight Ends
Not a lot to say about the TE position this week. With Gronk having already played on Thursday, we are left with a pretty big glut of average talent. We also have Travis Kelce and Eric Ebron off the docket thanks to another early London game. It looks like Antonio Gates will play versus Baltimore which bumps down a popular Ladarius Green pivot.

At this point I'm going to suggest Gary Barnidge. All he's done each week is prove me wrong. I also feel decently about Delanie Walker against the Titans, although Zach Mettenberger is a very poor talent at QB. I do like Greg Olsen but feel like he'll now be highly owned in GPPs with Gates on the field.

Liking
Gary Barnidge, Greg Olsen, Delanie Walker

Fading
Jimmy Graham, Tyler Eifert,

DST

Defensive stalwarts consist of the Cardinals and Seahawks. I see good reason to fade both. The Cardinals are coming off a short week and may be primed for a let down against Cleveland. Seattle is just not as good on the road and even against a really bad QB in Matt Cassel I don't see them putting up what you're paying for them.

Liking
Falcons, Rams, Packers, Texans, Jets

Fading
Cardinals, Packers

Derek Finley

Existing in a world of psychotic monkeys. Writing about sports for passion. Thirsting for knowledge and beer.